PANews reported on April 27th, citing The Block, that researchers from London Business School and Yale University analyzed every trade on Polymarket from 2023 to 2025 and found that only about 3% of accounts were "skilled winners," whose order flows consistently predicted short-term price movements and eventual outcomes. These skilled winners, along with market makers, comprised less than 3.5% of all accounts but captured over 30% of the profits. The study, using a symbolic randomization test, found that raw profits and losses do not accurately measure trading ability: only 12% of high-profit traders overlapped with the skilled group, and approximately 60% of the "lucky winners" turned into losses in another sample. Skill consistency in skilled accounts was as high as 44%, compared to only about 10% for actively managed funds. Approximately 67% of accounts were "unskilled losers," bearing all of the platform's cumulative losses. Researchers also flagged 1,950 accounts that were briefly opened before an event and then dormant after it was resolved. These accounts had a price impact of 7 to 12 times that of skilled traders per dollar, but their focus on isolated events did not affect overall accuracy. The study covered 1.72 million accounts, 210,300 markets, and approximately $13.76 billion in trading volume.

PANews, April 27th - According to Jinshi News, as the situation in the Middle East pushes up oil prices, US Treasury market traders are closely watching this week's Federal Reserve meeting to assess officials' views on the inflation outlook. The market widely expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, but traders tend to believe there will still be a rate cut before the end of the year. Swap market data on Friday showed that the probability of a rate cut before the end of the year has risen to around 40%. This development could pave the way for Kevin Warsh, Trump's nominee, to lead the Fed and implement more accommodative policies. Against this backdrop, traders will be listening carefully to incumbent Chairman Powell's remarks at the post-meeting press conference for an update on his plans after his term ends next May. Meanwhile, this week will also see a series of US Treasury auctions, including 2-year and 5-year notes, to test market demand at current yield levels.

TechFlow by Shenzhen Crypto, news on April 26, according to Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart disclosed on X platform, Bitwise submitted a new prediction market ETF application related to economic recession and tech industry layoffs on Friday morning.These 4 ETFs are all binary outcome products, specifically:Recession in 2026No recession in 2026Tech layoffs in 2026 more than in 2025Tech layoffs in 2026 less than in 2025

Deep Tide TechFlow news, April 26, according to financial news agency reports citing Iranian sources on the 26th, Iranian Islamic Consultative Assembly Vice Speaker Nikzad stated that Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei has explicitly ordered that the Strait of Hormuz cannot return to its pre-war state. (CCTV News)

PANews reported on April 25 that, according to Cointelegraph, 79% of the world's cryptocurrency ATMs are located in the United States.

Deep Tide TechFlow news, April 24: Market news: Google plans to invest up to $40 billion in Anthropic. It initially committed to invest $10 billion in cash in Anthropic, and if targets are met, Google will also invest an additional up to $30 billion in Anthropic and provide at least 5 gigawatts of computing power.

TechFlow Deep Tide News, April 24 – Two government officials said that U.S. President Donald Trump will send his special envoy, Witkoff, and son-in-law, Kushner, to Pakistan to attend talks with Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi this weekend. According to officials, given that Iranian Parliament Speaker Qalibaf will not attend, U.S. Vice President Vance currently has no plans to attend. Officials inside the White House widely believe that Qalibaf is the head of the Iranian delegation and Vance's counterpart. Officials stated that if negotiations make progress, the Vice President will be ready to travel to Islamabad, and his staff will also be in Pakistan for the talks. (CNN)

PANews reported on April 25th that, according to Jinshi, US President Trump posted on social media: "Those people and companies that have been taking advantage of our country for decades are now getting $159 billion back, all because of the terrible and absurd ruling by the Supreme Court on tariffs. If they had just added half a sentence—'The United States does not have to return what it has already paid'—our country would have gained $159 billion. That's more than the entire value of most countries! Think about it, with just half a sentence, we could have saved $159 billion. Couldn't they have done that for our country?"

On April 25, PANews reported that the DeFi Education Fund, along with Aave Labs, Uniswap Labs, Paradigm, Andreessen Horowitz, and other institutions, sent a letter to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in response to the recent statement issued by the Department of Trading and Markets regarding the registration of brokers with "non-custodial user interfaces" for crypto asset securities. The signatories support the statement's exclusion of "non-custodial user interfaces" that only provide technical access and allow users to manage their assets independently from broker registration. They also urge the SEC to establish formal rules to provide a clearer and more sustainable definition of "broker," avoiding the erroneous inclusion of neutral software tool providers, validators, RPC/APIs, oracles, cloud services, and other infrastructure in broker regulation, thereby providing long-term legal certainty for blockchain infrastructure innovation while ensuring investor protection. Previously, the SEC's Markets and Trading Division stated that some DeFi trading interfaces would not require registration as brokers, providing policy space for related applications. Meanwhile, supporters believe the new regulations could cover infrastructure participants such as validators, APIs, and oracles. Currently, the US crypto market legislation, the Clarity Act, is blocked in the Senate.

TechFlow Shenzhen news, April 23rd, according to CoinGlass data, the total liquidation amount in the cryptocurrency market over the past 24 hours reached $225 million, with long position liquidations at $146 million and short position liquidations at $78.9526 million. BTC liquidations amounted to $64.0206 million, while ETH liquidations reached $59.5255 million. A total of 99,826 individuals were liquidated over the past 24 hours, with the largest single liquidation occurring on the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair, valued at $1.845 million.