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The probability of a Fed rate cut in January fell to 19.9%, with a 44.7% probability of maintaining rates unchanged until March

BlockBeats News, December 22, according to CME “FedWatch” data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year has fallen below 20%, currently reported at 19.9%, while the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 80.1%. Last week, the probability of a Fed rate cut in January had risen to 31%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate unchanged until March next year is 44.7%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 46.5%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 8.8%.

The dates for the next two FOMC meetings of the Federal Reserve are January 28, 2026, and March 18, 2026.