ChainCatcher news, according to CME’s “FedWatch” data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points next January has fallen below 20%, currently reported at 19.9%, while the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 80.1%. Last week, the probability of a Fed rate cut in January had risen to 31%.
The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the current interest rate until next March is 44.7%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 46.5%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 8.8%.
The next two FOMC meeting dates for the Federal Reserve are January 28, 2026, and March 18, 2026.
