Probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in January next year reaches 81.2%

2025-12-29 by admin

ChainCatcher reports, according to Jinshi, the CME FedWatch Tool indicates that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 18.8%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 81.2%. By March next year, the cumulative probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut is 46.9%, the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 44.7%, and the cumulative probability of a 50-basis-point rate cut is 8.5%.

BlockBeats News, December 29 – According to a report by Cointelegraph, a proposal in California to impose a 5% tax on billionaires' wealth has faced strong opposition from cryptocurrency executives. They argue that it would trigger an exodus of entrepreneurs, capital flight, and ultimately be wasted regardless.The proposal, named the '2026 Billionaire Tax Act,' aims to introduce a ballot measure that would levy a 5% tax on individuals or entities with a net worth exceeding $1 billion to fund healthcare systems and state assistance programs. According to SEIU United Healthcare Workers West, because this proposed wealth tax partially targets unrealized gains, some billionaires may need to sell stocks or parts of their businesses to raise funds for tax payments. The tax can be paid in a lump sum or spread over five years with interest.Industry veterans in the cryptocurrency sector, including Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley and Kraken co-founder Jesse Powell, believe that this measure would only lead to billionaires leaving the state, resulting in negative consequences.